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TimothyStricklandParticipant
Feb 2021 Results:
MRV HFT: +11.8%
NDX Momo: -5.4%
NDX Aggressive: -6.7%TimothyStricklandParticipantTaranveer,
I think as long as you have a long term mindset, you will be fine. Don’t think days, think years. You are on the right track. I am saying this because I think that was my biggest hurdle. I used to look at the market in terms of days, now I am looking at years, decades.
TimothyStricklandParticipantNice! More evidence I need to make a short system
TimothyStricklandParticipantWow! Great results!
TimothyStricklandParticipantMRNA, TSLA and KLAC.
MRNA makes up a large portion because of the recent moves, I haven’t rebalanced.
The system bought MRNA in Nov of 2020 right before it exploded and has been holding TSLA since JUN, most of the returns came from these 2
TimothyStricklandParticipantJan 2021 Results:
MRV HFT: +6.1%
NDX Momo: +18.3%
NDX Aggressive: +28.8%TimothyStricklandParticipantJulian,
You have a few systems that you post every month, are those all the ones you created or does that also encompass Nick’s systems?
My NDX Momo system is basically one Nick help me design, I haven’t changed it. I only do a small optimization every year for one parameter. I am pretty sure if I toyed with it too much I wouldn’t have made the profits I did this year.
TimothyStricklandParticipantI noticed sort of the same thing with my systems. I have a very loose index filter on mine so my drawdowns are larger but of course you can see the potential upside I got this year. It is tough to figure out how much drawdown you can handle until you are actually in the middle of one.
TimothyStricklandParticipantOff to the races Omar!
TimothyStricklandParticipantNice Scott! Any plans to diversify a little into a longer term type system in 2021?
TimothyStricklandParticipant2020 Report Card: Following Nick’s lead
Overall, between all the trading systems, I ended up more than doubling our accounts.
My strategic portfolio which consists of a 401k in which Boeing matches all my contributions by 100% grew by nearly 40% this year also. Unfortunately, I can’t manage this as much as I would like and I must contribute or I do not get the Boeing match.
Real Estate properties, I own 4. We took another small loss this year due to COVID, not allowed to evict a renter that refused to pay. The state gives us nothing for it, they expect the landlords to eat the loss, it is frustrating.
My wife and I couldn’t be more pleased with the mentorship here and what Nick and the team has done for us.
My Total account size going in was $220,000 and is now almost $500,000. I would have never dreamed that I’d make 280k in a single year of trading and certainly not this quickly after completing the mentor course. This easily payed for the cost of the course, another failed trading course and we still had a ton of profits left over.
I have been using Nick’s hedge tool this year and will continue to do so. Basically when Nick posts that the market risk is at 4 I sell 50% of my positions in my longer term systems. I then go back in once the risk is down to 2 or lower. I do this because my momentum systems are very aggressive and typically have higher drawdowns than others here, this allows me to mitigate (at least partially) some of those drawdowns. When I have more time, probably not until 2022, I will develop a better system that keeps my drawdowns at 20%.
Goals for 2021:
Finish my BS in Computer Science degree so I can advance in my career and use this knowledge to develop more robust systems with code.
I would love to follow what others are doing in the forum but just haven’t had the luxury of time. My goals right now is to keep things simple and continue trading my systems at their basic levels. I plan on signing up for more of Nick’s strategies temporarily at least, so I can diversify a little bit more for next year; at least until I can develop more systems of my own.
My wife and I will be funneling more money into investments next year. She hasn’t had a job this year because she left to get training as a Software Engineer. We want to get back to saving at least 60% of our take home pay, as she is landing a Software Engineering job soon.
Our plan is to retire (or at least be in a position to retire) in 10 years, 17 years before the normal retirement age.
Diversify into Nick’s US Momo system most likely until I create my own.
I hope everyone has a great new year!
TimothyStricklandParticipantVery nice Len!
TimothyStricklandParticipantGreat results Glen!
I feel you on the need more systems not enough funds dilemma. After this great year I just had, I plan to diversify a little bit more. The problem is I am also going to be tight on time finishing up my CS degree next year full time while working full time, so I may just have to hold off until the following year.
When did you create that NDX Rotn system?
TimothyStricklandParticipantBy far this is the best year I have ever had in trading. This month was kind of weird for my momentum system, while the Nasdq was trucking higher, the stocks I was in had a massive pullback. Luckily I implemented a hedge by closing 50% of my positions 2 weeks ago before it started and missed most of the damage, the timing couldn’t have been better actually. I do not hedge the MRV system.
December 2020
MRV HFT: +14.4%
NDX Momo Backtest: +1.1%
NDX Momo Actual (Due to Hedge): +6.8%NDX Aggressive Backtest: -4.4%
NDX Aggressive Actual (Due to Hedge): +8.4 %Year 2020 Actuals
MRV HFT: + 69.2%
NDX Momo: +151.2%
NDX Aggressive: +210.9%Thoughts:
My MRV HFT had a nice equity curve.
Nick is a genius! The hedging tool saved my butt in March and this month. The backtest did not match my actual results because I missed a good chunk of drawdown during the pandemic start 1987 style crash (Sold 50% of my positions) and then again 2 weeks ago. This had a massive impact on my actual performance.
TimothyStricklandParticipantyikes 45% DD.
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