Thought it was about time to post my progress since I ran into an interesting issue.
Finished the theory part of the course and developed an MR system. The mentoring from Nick and Craig was and is simply outstanding.
Developed an mr system with a few simple rules.
Over the last 10 years the system returned 40% with a 9% drawdown. Over the last 19 years a 35% CAR with a 15% drawdown. The system has a small edge (55% right) so makes its profits from a high frequency of trading ( > 1000 trades per year). Those returns by the way included the standard IB commission rates and the universe traded is the Russell 1000.
Ran into an interesting problem. For the last 19 years the system is great. From 1990 to 1996 the results were awful with one continuous drawdown.
Talked to Nick about the problem and his observation was that markets change. He gave me three options; optimize the system from 1990-1996 and see if the system was robust, trade more than one system or discard the system. I elected to optimize the system and at the recommendation of Nick will optimize every 6 months.
I tried to figure out why the system did so poorly in 1990 to 1996. I backtested another system whose rules were close<
Meanwhile started trading my account at IB today with batchtrader. Elected to go with an exploratory live account at IB rather than papertrade
Len