Forum Replies Created
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Thanks Tim.
I am a big fan of the rotational systems, if only for their simplicity. I’d love to explore them on more markets if it was possible to get accurate historical data.
I do however think that these systems look good in the current market conditions, which have had such a strong run up over the past 18 months or so. They recognise however that they also tend to sit in cash for lengthy periods so there are periods I wont be getting any returns, so it balances out. I do still like the shorter term systems, which perform well & whilst don’t shoot the lights out, just keep ticking along with nice steady returns. For that reason, I tend to have the rotational systems in my Super and the others will eventually be used for producing a supplementary income…..”eventually”
Cheers
Glenn
October 2021
ASX
ASX100 Rot +3.26%
ASX WTT +2.37%
ASX B&H +1.69%US Market
NDX100 Rot +0.41% (Annual = 102.5%)
MR3000 +6.20%
TS(ASX/US) Rotational +0.06%Total Portfolio Performance = +1.69%
Well its been 12 months since I implemented my first rotational system on the NDX and have no complaints over its performance being up 102.5%, so a big shout out to Nick and Craig for all their helping me implement it. All other systems are also ticking along nicely as well. I haven’t had much time of late to focus on looking at any new systems as the move back to Sydney has been a wee bit distracting… This will be a new year focus. Would like to get one more MR system in play…and also another rotational or long term system for my Super… Also still need to get myself structured properly here in Australia as no more tax free capital gains….
Happy trading all!
Glenn
Happy trading all…..
Yeh a bit of a lumpy month Tim, but those are expected from time to time in this game, right???
Actually wasn’t that bad, as it comes down to the amount of capital allocated to each system…Have attached the backtest results from 2003,,Its run pretty well except for 2006 with 32% DD, but I balanced that against the substantial gains that year of +101%…generally the DD is around 20% which is well within my tolerance. The recovery rate is also very strong…
Run over shorter timeframes the results improve of course….but I like looking at the longer picture for some perspective on what I might be facing…..
September 2021
ASX
ASX100 Rot -11.57%
ASX WTT –-2.38%
ASX B&H -5.25%US Market
NDX100 Rot -1.01%
MR3000 -0.29%TS(ASX/US) Rotational -12%
Total Portfolio Performance = -4.93%
Sea of red this month with the ASX dragging down the overall results.
More importantly we have made it back to Sydney (not without its dramas), so may be posting a few questions soon, as will need to sort myself out on how best to deal with Australian tax again…yay…
Happy trading all!
Glenn
Happy trading all…..
Very interesting exchange guys and something I too have been considering, as I’m sure have many others. To make matters worse, this was the very first trade I placed after completing the course in October 2020… Thanks Nick / Craig….but talk about setting high expectations.
For me MRNA now up over 500% and represents 58% of my NDX portfolio.I’m generally inclined to just follow the signals, but I’m also very practical and believe in risk management (I work in insurance, so my apologies). MRNA now has achieved the 2nd largest gain out of NDX system (NVDA was the largest @ 540% but it occurred over 500 days – MRNA has done it in just 250days). I’m therefore going to be doing a little rebalancing… It may continue to go higher, who knows. For me it just seems prudent to ensure I have a good spread of risk.
Happy trading!
July 2021
ASX
ASX100 Rot +14.5%
WTT +7.75%
B&H +2.29%US Market
NDX100 Rot +20.21%
RUI Rot +11.02%
MR3000 +13.39%All and all a pretty solid month. A lot of gains in the NDX system, from one stock, which no doubt we are all holding, e.g. MRNA. I am most likely going to ditch my RUI – Monthly Rotational. I’ve never really been comfortable with the system, and whilst some of the numbers look okay on the surface, believe there is too much variability in the likely returns. Instead I have been testing a cross market / index rotational system, taking the best of the US and ASX markets. So far looks pretty promising.
7 more weeks until we land back in Sydney. If someone could sort of the mess down there before we arrive that would be great
Happy trading all…..
