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January 24, 2016 at 10:26 pm #102453Nick RadgeKeymaster
Article:
January 25, 2016 at 12:50 am #102454Nick RadgeKeymasterJanuary 25, 2016 at 12:53 am #102455Nick RadgeKeymasterArticle
January 26, 2016 at 5:29 am #102514AnonymousInactiveNick Radge wrote:White Paper:… found some amibroker code that plots the moon phases here: http://www.wisestocktrader.com/indicators/996-lunar-cycle
i thought you were just trolling by posting a link to this article at first! i guess not…January 26, 2016 at 8:03 am #102591Nick RadgeKeymasterQuote:i thought you were just trolling by posting a link to this article at first! i guess not…I have kept an archive of articles and stuff on my computer collected for years. I thought this was a good place to put them all.
The other thing I have found difficult is coming up with new ideas or thinking outside my normal space – which is why I collect articles regardless of how esoteric. There may be a small snippet or idea within that may fit together with something else I have..January 26, 2016 at 8:15 am #102592AnonymousInactiveNick Radge wrote:Quote:i thought you were just trolling by posting a link to this article at first! i guess not…I have kept an archive of articles and stuff on my computer collected for years. I thought this was a good place to put them all.
The other thing I have found difficult is coming up with new ideas or thinking outside my normal space – which is why I collect articles regardless of how esoteric. There may be a small snippet or idea within that may fit together with something else I have..im appreciating the diversity of ideas here… i guess it really does pay to keep and open mind and see the results for what they are
January 30, 2016 at 1:17 am #102456Nick RadgeKeymasterFebruary 1, 2016 at 6:23 am #102457Nick RadgeKeymasterHere is a system that came across my desk a few days ago. The code here is EasyLanguage for TradeStation but the system logic is quite simple:
Code:{Strategy inputs}
Inputs:
P1 (98),
P2 (22),
myFraction (1.75),
SL(600);
{Strategy variables}
Vars: myPOI(0),
myDistance (0),
BO_level (0),
EntryCondLong (false);
{Point Of Initiation}
myPOI = CloseD(1); //Yesterday´s daily CLOSE
{Distance}
myDistance = AvgTrueRange(14) * myFraction;
{Entry breakout level – calculates WHERE to enter}
BO_level = myPOI + myDistance;
{Entry condition – calculates WHEN to enter}
EntryCondLong = DMIPlus(P1)<= DMIMinus(P2); {Entry order - enter WHEN and WHERE criteria met} If (MarketPosition = 0 or time = SessionEndTime(0, 1)) and EntryCondLong then Buy next bar at BO_level stop; {Exits - Exit on STOPLOSS or AT THE END OF THE DAY} setstoploss(SL); SetExitOnClose;Setup:
DMIPlus of 98 days needs to be less than/equal to DMIMinus of 22 days (these appear to be optimised)Trigger:
Buy when prices rise above yesterdays high by the average range of the last 14 days * 1.75 (basic range expansion trigger)Exit:
Hard dollar stop loss of $600 (probably optimised)
or
End of DayInitial Impression
> there appears to be a few optimised variables here
> $600 hard stop probably won’t come into play and could even be ignored (i.e. better to run MAE analysis on a portfolio level)
> The use of the DMI is quite unusual so would be interested to see what benefit that has.
February 2, 2016 at 7:19 pm #102627SaidBitarMemberI tested this system with the following parameters:
DMIPlus of 100 days needs to be less than/equal to DMIMinus of 20 days
Index Filter of duration 200 days
Buy when prices rise above yesterdays high by the average range of the last 14 days * 1.75exit after 1 day till 10 days from the buy
all of them are with not good results the system couldn’t achieve CAR above 3% while drawdowns can go as deep as 30%
universe Russell 1000
price limiters 1 – 100$
volume min of 500K
leverage 50%February 2, 2016 at 7:27 pm #102742SaidBitarMemberI think the idea of this system is to buy when there is any huge gap up in the stock but the problem since 1.75 ATR is quite huge most of the time it is buying near the top and the close is lower. Unless the stock gaped up on super good news it will start going down to cover the gap, may be the opposite will be more profitable
February 3, 2016 at 3:46 am #102458Nick RadgeKeymasterArticle – a very good read for systems developers
February 4, 2016 at 9:05 pm #102459Nick RadgeKeymasterA word of warning – ensure you thoroughly test, including visually, any of these 3rd party codes. I have come across some very poor examples with major flaws.
February 5, 2016 at 3:04 am #102460Nick RadgeKeymasterWhite Paper
We document significant ‘‘time series momentum’’ in equity index, currency, commodity, and bond futures for each of the 58 liquid instruments we consider. We find persistence in returns for one to 12 months that partially reverses over longer horizons, consistent with sentiment theories of initial under-reaction and delayed over-reaction. A diversified portfolio of time series momentum strategies across all asset classes delivers substantial abnormal returns with little exposure to standard asset pricing factors and performs best during extreme markets.
February 5, 2016 at 4:59 am #102461February 8, 2016 at 4:47 am #102462 -
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