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If you can afford to sacrifice 10-mins of your life, then reading this commentary is a prime example of overthinking this stuff.
http://quantsjourney.blogspot.com.au/2017/06/struggling-quant-episode-1-how-i-lost.html
The quote that immediately comes to mind is:
There are rabbit holes and there are RABBIT holes. This guy is sadly disappearing into a black hole. I can understand why he is doing it but it’s kind of like watching a car crash in slow motion. We all know what is going to happen, except for him.
I got half way then got lost. Someone needs to pass on Nick’s email onto this guy.
Plus we need heaps more of these traders in the market.