So far all of my positions have been closed as expected in the closing auction.
I have been cross checking the floor price with the closing print, and thus far, all closing prices have been well above the floor price.
As far as I can tell, the only time the floor would come into play would be if there is some big market or stock specific news item that comes out after continuous trade closes and ahead of the closing print, or if some large seller wakes up late and decides they have something to do (this would generally stem from a mistake in my opinion). I haven’t ever seen this happen (not that it couldn’t).
As an aside, I have been working as an execution trader for a small handful of hedge funds for the past 4 years, executing their Asian exposure. In my tenure at this job, I have noticed that the closing print in AU prints around the closing price of continuous trade most of the time – sometimes there is a big move, but for the most part the auction and close of continuous trade are fairly in line. If an institution has something big to do, it behooves them to execute as much as possible during continuous trade as not to move the price on themselves on the close. When I have worked sizable orders in AU, we never wanted to be more than ~20% of the expected closing auction volume – if we were going to be any more than that, we would usually just hold the balance of the order for the next session.