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May 8, 2016 at 8:17 am #101477TrentRothallParticipant
With a bit of chat on Said’s journal about combining ideas for a group system i thought i would start a place to discuss it.
Since it seems there has been alot of chat about mean reversion, maybe we could throw ideas out there for a trend following system? Bollingerband, breakout to new highs etc.
What does everyone think?
May 8, 2016 at 8:57 am #103711SaidBitarMemberOK with me
May 8, 2016 at 9:44 am #103712LeeDanelloParticipantLonger term sounds good. My thoughts are given that the 2 hottest books out there are written by Gary Antonacci and Andreas Clenow, why don’t we start with these two and start testing them on a couple of markets. While my coding is not fantastic I’m willing to do some checking and do some of the stress testing. I have both of them and am willing to let others borrow them in the name of education.
May 8, 2016 at 9:49 am #103713TrentRothallParticipantare they rotational systems Maurice or just using momentum as a entry trigger?
May 8, 2016 at 9:55 am #103714StephaneFimaParticipantOk for me too
May 8, 2016 at 10:27 am #103715LeeDanelloParticipantClenow rebalances his portfolio at the end of the month using relative momentum. So the weaker stocks go out. Not sure about Antonacci as I haven’t read his book. Is that a form of rotation?
Haven’t had much free time doing this course – yet!
May 8, 2016 at 8:50 pm #103785AnonymousInactiveMaurice Petterlin wrote:Clenow rebalances his portfolio at the end of the month using relative momentum.Pretty sure the strategy rebalances every second week rather than the end of month…
May 8, 2016 at 8:55 pm #103782AnonymousInactiveMaurice Petterlin wrote:Longer term sounds good. My thoughts are given that the 2 hottest books out there are written by Gary Antonacci and Andreas Clenow, why don’t we start with these two and start testing them on a couple of markets. While my coding is not fantastic I’m willing to do some checking and do some of the stress testing. I have both of them and am willing to let others borrow them in the name of education.A start from Clenow’s strategy in “Stocks on the move”:
Code:_SECTION_BEGIN (“System Parameters”);
//=================================================================================
//Parameters
//=================================================================================
// calculate the exponential regression, annulised and adjusted slopes
period = 90;
natLog = ln(C);
expSlope = LinRegSlope(natLog,period);
annulisedSlope = 100*((exp(expSlope)^250) – 1);
r2 = Correlation(natLog,BarIndex(),period)^2;
adjSlope = annulisedSlope*r2;// gap filter code
gapPercent = Param(“Gap %”,15,1,200,0.01);
gapPeriod = Param(“Gap Up Lookback”,90,1,1000,1);
priceField1 = C;
priceField2 = Ref(C,-1);
ratio = ((priceField1-priceField2)/priceField2)*100;
gap = (GapUp() OR GapDown()) AND abs(ratio) >= gapPercent;
gapNumber = Sum(gap,gapPeriod);
gapFilter = gapNumber == 0;// moving averages
longMALength = Param(“Long MA”,100,50,200,10);
atrLength = Param(“ATR length”,20,5,30,1);
longMA = MA(C,longMALength);//=================================================================================
//Entry & Exit
//=================================================================================
OnLastTwoBarsOfDelistedSecurity = BarIndex() >= (LastValue(BarIndex()) -1) AND !IsNull(GetFnData(“DelistingDate”));cond1 = C > longMA;
cond2 = gapFilter AND indexUp AND HDBFilter AND optionalFilter;setup = cond1 AND cond2;
entry = Ref(setUp,-1) AND NOT OnLastTwoBarsOfDelistedSecurity;May 9, 2016 at 7:22 am #103783AnonymousInactiveMaurice Petterlin wrote:Longer term sounds good. My thoughts are given that the 2 hottest books out there are written by Gary Antonacci and Andreas Clenow, why don’t we start with these two and start testing them on a couple of markets. While my coding is not fantastic I’m willing to do some checking and do some of the stress testing. I have both of them and am willing to let others borrow them in the name of education.In the name of education here is just the strategy/algorithm rules from Clenow’s book:
May 9, 2016 at 11:11 am #103905JulianCohenParticipantI just read the Dual Momentum book. Basically I think it can be summed up as follows:
Compare ROC(252) of SPY index against a world index ETF…he suggests VEU
If the higher of either is higher than the ROC(252) of BIL, a bond index ETF, then buy the stock ETF. Otherwise buy the Bond ETF. Recheck each month.
That’s it…keep it simple :cheer:
It can easily be adapted to compare other index ETFs against each other etc…
It could be added to a system as an additional unit.
I’m quite a way behind you guys in coding but happy to test and contribute if I can
May 9, 2016 at 6:27 pm #103925SaidBitarMemberI have one idea a bit weird one but why we do not put the targets and start from there
CAR
MDD
trade frequency
holding timeI imagine it will be more effective than taking a strategy and testing it
May 10, 2016 at 12:39 am #103926TrentRothallParticipantSaid Bitar wrote:I have one idea a bit weird one but why we do not put the targets and start from thereCAR
MDD
trade frequency
holding timeI imagine it will be more effective than taking a strategy and testing it
Yeah i agree here. Not sure about everyone else?
I was thinking a longer term model 3 months+ for holding time, so trade frequency will be low i guess. But that is just me…
May 10, 2016 at 1:55 am #103928LeeDanelloParticipantMy view,
yeah medium term, say 3 months
daily system
MDD <=15%
CAR>15%
Exposure > 50%May 10, 2016 at 7:57 pm #103929AnonymousInactiveTrent Rothall wrote:Said Bitar wrote:I have one idea a bit weird one but why we do not put the targets and start from thereCAR
MDD
trade frequency
holding timeI imagine it will be more effective than taking a strategy and testing it
Yeah i agree here. Not sure about everyone else?
I was thinking a longer term model 3 months+ for holding time, so trade frequency will be low i guess. But that is just me…
happy to contribute to any strategy. im planning on trading just one MRV strategy (hopefully start around july) until the end of the year before adding something else into the mix once i have bedded down a routine. a longer term strategy might be a good addition me.
May 11, 2016 at 4:34 pm #103938ChrisViridesMemberI think this is a super idea, I will try contribute.
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